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Will Egypt Strike Ethiopia Renaissance dam for water?

Out of the 11 riparian countries in the Nile basin oftentimes Ethiopia and Egypt enter to a raw on hydro politics, Sudan is also on an on and off mood in the hydrological issues. Egypt while try to influence the hydro politics by pulling Sudan to be its alliance, Ethiopia on the other hand have managed Sudan to be in its side, especially by the late PM Minister Melees Zenawi.

The Issue on Nile was intense especially when the Ethiopian Renaissance dam was announced for construction. But what are the main concerns? Should they be concerns? Why only Ethiopia and Egypt are main game players out of the 11 countries on the basin.

• Population growth and scarcity of fresh water for agricultural, industrial and drinking
• Flooding problem
• Dam failure and consequences in downstream.
• Poverty, food self-sufficiency, industrialization and globalization.
• Religion and historical facts?
• Colonialism

This are some of the most important questions one must ask to really understand the core problems and solve them accordingly.

What if Egypt really decided to strike
• Who will be ultimate looser if armed strike and why?
• Do Egypt have a real capacity to strike and is it working on it?
• Can Ethiopia retaliate and does it have the Militarily capablity.
• What should be the role of international community, technology and science?
• Are there any technological solutions to the potential conflicts
• Is there any political solution?what is the the role of Israel on the situation?

This are some of the issues we want to raise and debate as Ethiopians, Africans or concerned international community.

Have your say.


very interesting and provocative video compilation, thank you. After saying that I would like to comment a few things. First Ethiopian gov does not force its citizens to contribute for the construction of the renaissance dam. Second Ethiopia is not controlling the low of river nile the country is abided by international water law therefore the annual minimum flow is going to flow year round, Ethiopia is only going to harvest excess flood in rainy seasons which otherwise ended up to mediterranean sea passed Aswan dam. Third in the long run dam will increase and recharge the groundwater table and the river flow will increase eventually not decrease. Fourth this dam has a great advantage in minimizing siltation to the downstream dams therefore, Egypt and Sudan will benefit getting much cleaner and naturally regulated water.

Las point I would like to raise is that, we are now at age of globalization where life is high paced and It always mesmerize me when people push themselves to conflict than think other solutions i.e working together to beat together poverty, and backwardness. In your narration you emphasised Ethiopian poverty but in world wealth scale Egypt is not different. It is another poor nation but may be a little better than Ethiopia. Therefore Ethiopia and Egypt as poor nations need to cooperate than dismantle each other. cooperate than conflict.

When it comes to solutions for fresh water shortage, it is global issue and there are many technologies available now and exploiting all the technologies is better way to go than destructions.

For all the problems, working together is the solution than conflict, strife and destruction.

But still there is a possibility and a mad ignorant evil person may rise and act, that will be unfortunate and the big looser will be Egypt not Ethiopia. Do not underestimate Ethiopians intelligence, in war, engineering and politics. We were victims of colonialism that favours Egypt over Ethiopia, victims of our own making because of some stupid leaders we have had since Menilik II, victims of ourselves because we were easily manipulated by shrewd foreign powers but now I do not think it is like old days anymore.


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